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A dynamic model of Chinese economic gradualism via marketisation.

Fu, W., Le Riche, A., Parent, A. and Renard, M-F., 2026. A dynamic model of Chinese economic gradualism via marketisation. Annals of Economics and Finance, 27 (1), 223-242.

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Abstract

This paper analyzes China’s economic marketization since 1978. We provide a historical account showing its success resulted from gradualism and a trial-and-error process. We then develop a two-sector Ramsey model where an ``experimental sector” with an unknown decentralized production process represents reforms. A central planner learns from this sector’s revealed productivity, explaining China’s smooth transition from a planned to a market-oriented economy through an information-learning process.

Item Type:Article
ISSN:1529-7373
Uncontrolled Keywords:Bayesian Learning; Policy experimentation; Chinese “take-off”; marketisation
Group:Faculty of Business and Law
ID Code:41987
Deposited By: Symplectic RT2
Deposited On:06 May 2026 11:52
Last Modified:06 May 2026 11:52

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